Hat tip, my friend who is a senior intelligence official:
The Haqqanis could give a rat’s ass about prisoners, the Haqqani Network, a designated terrorist group in Afghanistan and Pakistan, and the five Guantanamo Bay prisoners who were freed in exchange for Bergdahl’s release. The people that are holding Bergdahl wanted cash and someone paid it to them.
The Taliban is an ideologically committed group, they say, while the Haqqani Network is better understood as a tribal crime syndicate using unrest in the region not to advance an Islamist agenda but to further own financial and political interests.
When Westerners talk [about the] Taliban, we tend to use it as a generic term. Afghans are more likely to talk about the Haqqani Network versus the Quetta Shura also known as the Afghan Taliban versus the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan.
One of these things doesn’t add up. If you were to put one of these Taliban prisoners with Haqqani in a room together, they’d beat the shit out of each other.
Haqqani benefits zero from the prisoner exchange. Based on 10 years of working with those guys, the only thing that would make them move Bergdahl is money.
Whether the Qataris paid it, or some big oil sheik, or somebody used our petrodollars, there was a ransom paid in cash for each one of them, my guess somewhere in the round numbers of $5 or 6 million to get Bergdahl freed.
The groups do have links, but if Bergdahl was held by Haqqani and we released Quetta Shura, it seems Bergdahl’s captors were seeking something other than the Taliban prisoners, got paid off, and Obama simply used the trade as an excuse to release master terrorists from Gitmo.